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Mastering Probabilistic Graphical Models with Python

You're reading from  Mastering Probabilistic Graphical Models with Python

Product type Book
Published in Aug 2015
Publisher
ISBN-13 9781784394684
Pages 284 pages
Edition 1st Edition
Languages
Author (1):
Ankur Ankan Ankur Ankan
Profile icon Ankur Ankan
Toc

Table of Contents (14) Chapters close

Mastering Probabilistic Graphical Models Using Python
Credits
About the Authors
About the Reviewers
www.PacktPub.com
Preface
1. Bayesian Network Fundamentals 2. Markov Network Fundamentals 3. Inference – Asking Questions to Models 4. Approximate Inference 5. Model Learning – Parameter Estimation in Bayesian Networks 6. Model Learning – Parameter Estimation in Markov Networks 7. Specialized Models Index

Parameter learning


In the previous sections, we have been discussing the general concepts related to learning. Now, in this section, we will be discussing the problem of learning parameters. In this case, we will already know the networks structure and we will have a dataset, , of full assignment over the variables. We have two major approaches to estimate the parameters, the maximum likelihood estimation and the Bayesian approach.

Maximum likelihood estimation

Let's take the example of a biased coin. We want to predict the outcome of this coin using previous data that we have about the outcomes of tossing it. So, let's consider that, previously, we tossed the coin 1000 times and we got heads 330 times and got tails 670 times. Based on this observation, we can define a parameter, , which represents our chances of getting a heads or a tails in the next toss. In the most simple case, we can have this parameter, , to be the probability of getting a heads or tails. Considering to be the probability...

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