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Learning Predictive Analytics with Python

You're reading from   Learning Predictive Analytics with Python Gain practical insights into predictive modelling by implementing Predictive Analytics algorithms on public datasets with Python

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Product type Paperback
Published in Feb 2016
Publisher
ISBN-13 9781783983261
Length 354 pages
Edition 1st Edition
Languages
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Authors (2):
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Ashish Kumar Ashish Kumar
Author Profile Icon Ashish Kumar
Ashish Kumar
Gary Dougan Gary Dougan
Author Profile Icon Gary Dougan
Gary Dougan
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Toc

Table of Contents (12) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Getting Started with Predictive Modelling FREE CHAPTER 2. Data Cleaning 3. Data Wrangling 4. Statistical Concepts for Predictive Modelling 5. Linear Regression with Python 6. Logistic Regression with Python 7. Clustering with Python 8. Trees and Random Forests with Python 9. Best Practices for Predictive Modelling A. A List of Links
Index

Making sense of result parameters


Apart from the R2 statistic, there are other statistics and parameters that one needs to look at in order to do the following:

  1. Select some variables and discard others for the model.

  2. Assess the relationship between the predictor and output variable and check whether a predictor variable is significant in the model or not.

  3. Calculate the error in the values predicted by the selected model.

Let us now see some of the statistics which helps to address the issues discussed earlier.

p-values

One thing to realize here is that the calculation of a and β are estimates and not the exact calculations. Whether their values are significant or not need to be tested using a hypothesis test.

The hypothesis tests whether the value of β is non-zero or not; in other words whether there is a sufficient correlation between X and yact. If there is, the β will be non-zero.

In the equation, y= a +β*x, if we put β=0, there will be no relation between y and x. Hence the hypothesis test is...

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