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Forecasting Time Series Data with Prophet

You're reading from   Forecasting Time Series Data with Prophet Build, improve, and optimize time series forecasting models using Meta's advanced forecasting tool

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Product type Paperback
Published in Mar 2023
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781837630417
Length 282 pages
Edition 2nd Edition
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Author (1):
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Greg Rafferty Greg Rafferty
Author Profile Icon Greg Rafferty
Greg Rafferty
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Table of Contents (20) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Part 1: Getting Started with Prophet
2. Chapter 1: The History and Development of Time Series Forecasting FREE CHAPTER 3. Chapter 2: Getting Started with Prophet 4. Chapter 3: How Prophet Works 5. Part 2: Seasonality, Tuning, and Advanced Features
6. Chapter 4: Handling Non-Daily Data 7. Chapter 5: Working with Seasonality 8. Chapter 6: Forecasting Holiday Effects 9. Chapter 7: Controlling Growth Modes 10. Chapter 8: Influencing Trend Changepoints 11. Chapter 9: Including Additional Regressors 12. Chapter 10: Accounting for Outliers and Special Events 13. Chapter 11: Managing Uncertainty Intervals 14. Part 3: Diagnostics and Evaluation
15. Chapter 12: Performing Cross-Validation 16. Chapter 13: Evaluating Performance Metrics 17. Chapter 14: Productionalizing Prophet 18. Index 19. Other Books You May Enjoy

To get the most out of this book

To run the code examples in this book, you will need Python 3.x installed. All examples in this book were made using Prophet version 1.1 in Jupyter notebooks. macOS, Windows, and Linux are all supported. Although all examples in this book will be written in Python, everything is also fully compatible with R and you may use that language if you prefer, although this book will not cover R syntax. Please refer to the official Prophet documentation for R syntax (https://facebook.github.io/prophet/).

Chapter 2, Getting Started with Prophet, will walk you through installing Prophet, and installing either Anaconda or Miniconda is strongly recommended in order to correctly install all of Prophet’s dependencies. It is possible to install Prophet without using Anaconda, but it can be very difficult depending upon the specific configuration of your machine, and this book assumes that Anaconda will be used.

In order to follow the examples, you must at least be familiar with the pandas library for data processing and Matplotlib for making plots. In a few cases, the numpy library will be used to simulate random data but following the examples will not require that you know the NumPy syntax. All of these libraries will be installed automatically as Prophet dependencies, if not already installed. All datasets used in this book are hosted and can be downloaded from this book’s GitHub repository here: https://github.com/PacktPublishing/Forecasting-Time-Series-Data-with-Prophet-Second-Edition.

Software/hardware covered in the book

OS requirements

Prophet

Windows, macOS, or Linux (any)

Python 3.7+

Prophet supports parallelization with Dask but while setting Prophet up to run on a Dask cluster will be covered, installing and using Dask is beyond the scope of this book. If interested, I encourage you to refer to the Dask documentation at https://docs.dask.org/en/stable/. Similarly, this book will cover how to build interactive Prophet visualizations in Plotly but putting those together into a Dash dashboard will be left up to the reader to learn elsewhere. The Dash documentation at https://dash.plotly.com/ is a great place to start.

If you are using the digital version of this book, we advise you to type the code yourself or access the code via the GitHub repository (link available in the next section). Doing so will help you avoid any potential errors related to copying/pasting code.

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