Adding default state/province holidays

Adding the holidays specific to Illinois is not so straightforward, because the add_country_holidays method only takes an argument for the country, but not the state or province. To add state- or province-level holidays, we need to use a new Prophet function, make_holidays_df. Let’s import it here:

from prophet.make_holidays import make_holidays_df

This function takes a list of years for which to populate the holidays as input, as well as arguments for the country and state or province. Note that you must use all years in your training DataFrame, as well as all the years for which you intend to predict. That is why, in the following code, we build a year list to contain all unique years in the training DataFrame. Then, because our make_future_dataframe command will add one year to the forecast, we need to extend that year list to include one additional year:

year_list = df['ds'].dt.year.unique().tolist()
# Identify the...