Estimation of the term structure by linear regression
Suppose that the discount function can be expressed as the linear combination of the functions that are twice continuously differentiable functions as
where
We can estimate the weights by generalized least squares. We will discuss the choice of the functions later. The estimated discount function is the function of the estimated weights .
Let D denote an matrix whose elements are , and be the vector that contains the weights . Thus and
which is a linear regression model under the constraint that , which can be expressed as follows:
where .
The GLS estimation for the weights of equation (2) under the constraint of equation (3) is
where