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Python for Finance

You're reading from   Python for Finance Apply powerful finance models and quantitative analysis with Python

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Product type Paperback
Published in Jun 2017
Publisher
ISBN-13 9781787125698
Length 586 pages
Edition 2nd Edition
Languages
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Author (1):
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Yuxing Yan Yuxing Yan
Author Profile Icon Yuxing Yan
Yuxing Yan
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Toc

Table of Contents (17) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Python Basics FREE CHAPTER 2. Introduction to Python Modules 3. Time Value of Money 4. Sources of Data 5. Bond and Stock Valuation 6. Capital Asset Pricing Model 7. Multifactor Models and Performance Measures 8. Time-Series Analysis 9. Portfolio Theory 10. Options and Futures 11. Value at Risk 12. Monte Carlo Simulation 13. Credit Risk Analysis 14. Exotic Options 15. Volatility, Implied Volatility, ARCH, and GARCH Index

Simulation of stock price movements

We mentioned in the previous sections that in finance, returns are assumed to follow a normal distribution, whereas prices follow a lognormal distribution. The stock price at time t+1 is a function of the stock price at t, mean, standard deviation, and the time interval, as shown in the following formula:

Simulation of stock price movements

In this formula, St + 1 is the stock price at t+1, ˆ μ is the expected stock return, t _ is the time interval (T t n_= ), T is the time (in years), n is the number of steps, ε is the distribution term with a zero mean, and σ is the volatility of the underlying stock. With a simple manipulation, equation (4) can lead to the following equation that we will use in our programs:

Simulation of stock price movements

In a risk-neutral work, no investors require compensation for bearing risk. In other words, in such a world, the expected return on any security (investment) is the risk-free rate. Thus, in a risk-neutral world, the previous equation becomes the following equation...

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