Predicting cases of COVID-19
This section will focus on a new application with epidemic forecasting. We will use the England Covid dataset, a dynamic graph with temporal information introduced by Panagopoulos et al. in 2021 [3]. While nodes are static, connections between and edge weights vary over time. This dataset represents the number of reported cases of COVID-19 in 129 England NUTS 3 regions between March 3 and May 12, 2020. Data was collected from mobile phones that installed the Facebook application and shared their location history. Our goal is to predict the number of cases in each node (region) in 1 day.
Figure 13.8 – NUTS 3 areas in England are colored in red
This dataset represents England as a graph . Due to the temporal nature of this dataset, it is composed of multiple graphs corresponding to each day of the studied period . In these graphs, node features correspond to the number of cases in each of the past days in this region...