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Mastering Machine Learning with R, Second Edition - Second Edition

You're reading from  Mastering Machine Learning with R, Second Edition - Second Edition

Product type Book
Published in Apr 2017
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781787287471
Pages 420 pages
Edition 2nd Edition
Languages
Toc

Table of Contents (23) Chapters close

Title Page
Credits
About the Author
About the Reviewers
Packt Upsell
Customer Feedback
Preface
1. A Process for Success 2. Linear Regression - The Blocking and Tackling of Machine Learning 3. Logistic Regression and Discriminant Analysis 4. Advanced Feature Selection in Linear Models 5. More Classification Techniques - K-Nearest Neighbors and Support Vector Machines 6. Classification and Regression Trees 7. Neural Networks and Deep Learning 8. Cluster Analysis 9. Principal Components Analysis 10. Market Basket Analysis, Recommendation Engines, and Sequential Analysis 11. Creating Ensembles and Multiclass Classification 12. Time Series and Causality 13. Text Mining 14. R on the Cloud 15. R Fundamentals 16. Sources

Ensembles


The quote at the beginning of this chapter mentions using ensembles to win machine learning competitions. However, they do have practical applications. I've provided a definition of what ensemble modeling is, but why does it work? To demonstrate this, I've co-opted an example, from the following blog, which goes into depth at a number of ensemble methods:http://mlwave.com/kaggle-ensembling-guide/.

As I write this chapter, we are only a couple of days away from Super Bowl 51, the Atlanta Falcons versus the New England Patriots. Let's say we want to review our probability of winning a friendly wager where we want to take the Patriots minus the points (3 points as of this writing). Assume that we have been following three expert prognosticators that all have the same probability of predicting that the Patriots will cover the spread (60%). Now, if we favor any one of the so-called experts, it is clear we have a 60% chance to win. However, let's see what creating an ensemble of their...

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