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Data Forecasting and Segmentation Using Microsoft Excel

You're reading from   Data Forecasting and Segmentation Using Microsoft Excel Perform data grouping, linear predictions, and time series machine learning statistics without using code

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Product type Paperback
Published in May 2022
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781803247731
Length 324 pages
Edition 1st Edition
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Author (1):
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Fernando Roque Fernando Roque
Author Profile Icon Fernando Roque
Fernando Roque
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Table of Contents (19) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Part 1 – An Introduction to Machine Learning Functions
2. Chapter 1: Understanding Data Segmentation FREE CHAPTER 3. Chapter 2: Applying Linear Regression 4. Chapter 3: What is Time Series? 5. Part 2 – Grouping Data to Find Segments and Outliers
6. Chapter 4: Introduction to Data Grouping 7. Chapter 5: Finding the Optimal Number of Single Variable Groups 8. Chapter 6: Finding the Optimal Number of Multi-Variable Groups 9. Chapter 7: Analyzing Outliers for Data Anomalies 10. Part 3 – Simple and Multiple Linear Regression Analysis
11. Chapter 8: Finding the Relationship between Variables 12. Chapter 9: Building, Training, and Validating a Linear Model 13. Chapter 10: Building, Training, and Validating a Multiple Regression Model 14. Part 4 – Predicting Values with Time Series
15. Chapter 11: Testing Data for Time Series Compliance 16. Chapter 12: Working with Time Series Using the Centered Moving Average and a Trending Component 17. Chapter 13: Training, Validating, and Running the Model 18. Other Books You May Enjoy

Finding groups of multiple variables

The basic concepts of the K-means algorithm to calculate group segments are as follows:

  • Centroid: This is the average value of each segment.
  • The optimal number of segments: The K-means algorithm computes the optimal number of groups, calculating the minimal standard deviation or the distance of the members of the group from its centroid.

We'll check them out in depth in the following sections.

Calculating centroids and the optimal number of segments for one variable

The first case is the numbers in Figure 4.5, in which we have to find the optimal number of segments and the members of each of them:

Figure 4.5 – Chart of data to classify into segments. The boxes represent the potential groups

The case data in the chart in Figure 4.5 suggests that we have two possible groups, but we need the K-means statistical process to get the optimal number of groups before running the algorithm to...

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