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Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python

You're reading from  Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python

Product type Book
Published in Oct 2021
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781801819626
Pages 370 pages
Edition 1st Edition
Languages
Author (1):
Ben Auffarth Ben Auffarth
Profile icon Ben Auffarth

Table of Contents (15) Chapters

Preface 1. Introduction to Time-Series with Python 2. Time-Series Analysis with Python 3. Preprocessing Time-Series 4. Introduction to Machine Learning for Time-Series 5. Forecasting with Moving Averages and Autoregressive Models 6. Unsupervised Methods for Time-Series 7. Machine Learning Models for Time-Series 8. Online Learning for Time-Series 9. Probabilistic Models for Time-Series 10. Deep Learning for Time-Series 11. Reinforcement Learning for Time-Series 12. Multivariate Forecasting 13. Other Books You May Enjoy
14. Index

Forecasting a Multivariate Time-Series

Time-series forecasting is an active research topic in academia. Forecasting long-term trends is not only a fun challenge, but has important implications for strategic planning and operations research in real-world applications such as IT operations management, manufacturing, and cyber security.

A multivariate time-series has more than one dependent variable. This means that each dependent variable not only depends on its own past values, but also potentially on the past values of other variables. This introduces complexity such as colinearity, where the dependent variables are not independent, but rather correlated. Colinearity violates the assumptions of many linear models, and it is therefore even more appealing to resort to models that can capture feature interactions.

This figure shows an example of a multivariate time-series, COVID deaths in different countries (from the English Wikipedia article about the COVID-19 pandemic):

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