You're reading from Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python Explore industry-ready time series forecasting using modern machine learning and deep learning

Product type Paperback

Published in Nov 2022

Publisher Packt

ISBN-13 9781803246802

Length 552 pages

Edition 1st Edition

Languages

Python

Tools

Time Series Forecasting

Concepts

Data Science

Author (1):

Manu Joseph

View More author details

Table of Contents (26) Chapters

Preface

1. Part 1 – Getting Familiar with Time Series

2. Chapter 1: Introducing Time Series FREE CHAPTER

3. Chapter 2: Acquiring and Processing Time Series Data

4. Chapter 3: Analyzing and Visualizing Time Series Data

5. Chapter 4: Setting a Strong Baseline Forecast

6. Part 2 – Machine Learning for Time Series

7. Chapter 5: Time Series Forecasting as Regression

8. Chapter 6: Feature Engineering for Time Series Forecasting

9. Chapter 7: Target Transformations for Time Series Forecasting

10. Chapter 8: Forecasting Time Series with Machine Learning Models

11. Chapter 9: Ensembling and Stacking

12. Chapter 10: Global Forecasting Models

13. Part 3 – Deep Learning for Time Series

14. Chapter 11: Introduction to Deep Learning

15. Chapter 12: Building Blocks of Deep Learning for Time Series

16. Chapter 13: Common Modeling Patterns for Time Series

17. Chapter 14: Attention and Transformers for Time Series

18. Chapter 15: Strategies for Global Deep Learning Forecasting Models

19. Chapter 16: Specialized Deep Learning Architectures for Forecasting

20. Part 4 – Mechanics of Forecasting

21. Chapter 17: Multi-Step Forecasting

22. Chapter 18: Evaluating Forecasts – Forecast Metrics

23. Chapter 19: Evaluating Forecasts – Validation Strategies

24. Index

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Using time-varying information

The GFM(ML) used all the available features. So obviously, that model had access to a lot more information than the GFM(DL) we have built till now. The GFM(DL) we just built only takes in the history and nothing else. Let’s change that by including time-varying information. We will just use time-varying real features this time because dealing with categorical features is a topic I want to leave for the next section.

We initialize the training dataset the same way as before, but we add time_varying_known_reals=feat_config.time_varying_known_reals to the initialization parameters. Now that we have all the datasets created, let’s move on to setting up the model.

To set up the model, we need to understand one concept. We are now using the history of the target and time-varying known features. In Figure 15.3, we saw how TimeSeriesDataset arranges the different kinds of variables in PyTorch tensors. In the previous section, we used only...