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Data Forecasting and Segmentation Using Microsoft Excel

You're reading from   Data Forecasting and Segmentation Using Microsoft Excel Perform data grouping, linear predictions, and time series machine learning statistics without using code

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Product type Paperback
Published in May 2022
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781803247731
Length 324 pages
Edition 1st Edition
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Author (1):
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Fernando Roque Fernando Roque
Author Profile Icon Fernando Roque
Fernando Roque
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Table of Contents (19) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Part 1 – An Introduction to Machine Learning Functions
2. Chapter 1: Understanding Data Segmentation FREE CHAPTER 3. Chapter 2: Applying Linear Regression 4. Chapter 3: What is Time Series? 5. Part 2 – Grouping Data to Find Segments and Outliers
6. Chapter 4: Introduction to Data Grouping 7. Chapter 5: Finding the Optimal Number of Single Variable Groups 8. Chapter 6: Finding the Optimal Number of Multi-Variable Groups 9. Chapter 7: Analyzing Outliers for Data Anomalies 10. Part 3 – Simple and Multiple Linear Regression Analysis
11. Chapter 8: Finding the Relationship between Variables 12. Chapter 9: Building, Training, and Validating a Linear Model 13. Chapter 10: Building, Training, and Validating a Multiple Regression Model 14. Part 4 – Predicting Values with Time Series
15. Chapter 11: Testing Data for Time Series Compliance 16. Chapter 12: Working with Time Series Using the Centered Moving Average and a Trending Component 17. Chapter 13: Training, Validating, and Running the Model 18. Other Books You May Enjoy

Researching autocorrelation – past values' influence over present values

In this section, we will learn how to get data errors or residuals from the linear regression model that we want to use as a time-series model to do forecasts. The regression line indicates the trend of data. The Durbin-Watson test uses the errors to see whether there is periodic behavior in the time frame in order to decide whether there is autocorrelation or not.

First, we are going to use the regression function in Excel with the air passenger sales data, as shown in Figure 11.5. We have to enter the parameters in the regression function and specify that we want error results. To do this, go to the Data option in the Data Analysis upper menu and choose Regression.

If you cannot find the Regression option in Data Analysis, you will have to install the Analysis tool pack in Excel. To do this, follow these steps:

  1. Click the File tab, and then go to the Options | Add-ins category.
  2. In...
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