You're reading from Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python Explore industry-ready time series forecasting using modern machine learning and deep learning

Product type Paperback

Published in Nov 2022

Publisher Packt

ISBN-13 9781803246802

Length 552 pages

Edition 1st Edition

Languages

Python

Tools

Time Series Forecasting

Concepts

Data Science

Author (1):

Manu Joseph

View More author details

Table of Contents (26) Chapters

Preface

1. Part 1 – Getting Familiar with Time Series

2. Chapter 1: Introducing Time Series FREE CHAPTER

3. Chapter 2: Acquiring and Processing Time Series Data

4. Chapter 3: Analyzing and Visualizing Time Series Data

5. Chapter 4: Setting a Strong Baseline Forecast

6. Part 2 – Machine Learning for Time Series

7. Chapter 5: Time Series Forecasting as Regression

8. Chapter 6: Feature Engineering for Time Series Forecasting

9. Chapter 7: Target Transformations for Time Series Forecasting

10. Chapter 8: Forecasting Time Series with Machine Learning Models

11. Chapter 9: Ensembling and Stacking

12. Chapter 10: Global Forecasting Models

13. Part 3 – Deep Learning for Time Series

14. Chapter 11: Introduction to Deep Learning

15. Chapter 12: Building Blocks of Deep Learning for Time Series

16. Chapter 13: Common Modeling Patterns for Time Series

17. Chapter 14: Attention and Transformers for Time Series

18. Chapter 15: Strategies for Global Deep Learning Forecasting Models

19. Chapter 16: Specialized Deep Learning Architectures for Forecasting

20. Part 4 – Mechanics of Forecasting

21. Chapter 17: Multi-Step Forecasting

22. Chapter 18: Evaluating Forecasts – Forecast Metrics

23. Chapter 19: Evaluating Forecasts – Validation Strategies

24. Index

Why subscribe?

25. Other Books You May Enjoy

Understanding the basics of machine learning

Before we get started with using machine learning for time series, let’s spend some time establishing what machine learning is and setting up a framework to demonstrate what it does (if you are already very comfortable with machine learning, feel free to skip ahead, or just stay with us and refresh the concepts). In 1959, Arthur Samuel defined machine learning as a “field of study that gives computers the ability to learn without being explicitly programmed.” Traditionally, programming has been a paradigm under which we know a set of rules/logic to perform an action, and that action is performed on the given data to get the output that we want. But, machine learning flipped this on its head. In machine learning, we start with data and the output, and we ask the computer to tell us about the rules with which the desired output can be achieved from the data:

Figure 5.1 – Traditional programming...