You're reading from Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python Industry-ready machine learning and deep learning time series analysis with PyTorch and pandas

Product type Paperback

Published in Oct 2024

Publisher Packt

ISBN-13 9781835883181

Length 658 pages

Edition 2nd Edition

Languages

Python

Tools

PyTorch

Concepts

Data Science

Authors (2):

Jeffrey Tackes

Manu Joseph

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Table of Contents (26) Chapters

Preface

1. Part-1: Getting Familiar with Time Series FREE CHAPTER

2. Introducing Time Series

3. Acquiring and Processing Time Series Data

4. Analyzing and Visualizing Time Series Data

5. Setting a Strong Baseline Forecast

6. Part-2: Machine Learning for Time Series

7. Time Series Forecasting as Regression

8. Feature Engineering for Time Series Forecasting

9. Target Transformations for Time Series Forecasting

10. Forecasting Time Series with Machine Learning Models

11. Ensembling and Stacking

12. Global Forecasting Models

13. Part-3: Deep Learning for Time Series

14. Introduction to Deep Learning

15. Building Blocks of Deep Learning for Time Series

16. Common Modeling Patterns for Time Series

17. Attention and Transformers for Time Series

18. Strategies for Global Deep Learning Forecasting Models

19. Specialized Deep Learning Architectures for Forecasting

20. Probabilistic Forecasting and More

21. Part-4: Mechanics of Forecasting

22. Multi-Step Forecasting

23. Evaluating Forecast Errors—A Survey of Forecast Metrics

24. Evaluating Forecasts—Validation Strategies

25. Index

Interpretability

Interpretability can be defined as the degree to which a human can understand the cause of a decision. In machine learning and artificial intelligence, that translates to the degree to which someone can understand the how and why of an algorithm and its predictions. There are two ways to look at interpretability—transparency and post hoc interpretation.

Transparency is when the model is inherently simple and can be simulated or thought about using human cognition. A human should be able to fully understand the inputs and the process a model takes to convert these inputs to outputs. This is a very stringent condition that almost none of the model machine learning or deep learning models satisfy.

This is where post hoc interpretation techniques shine. There is a wide variety of techniques that use the inputs and outputs of a model to understand why a model has made the predictions it has.

There are many popular techniques such as permutation feature...

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You're reading from Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python Industry-ready machine learning and deep learning time series analysis with PyTorch and pandas

Table of Contents (26) Chapters

Interpretability

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Authors (2)

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