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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

You're reading from   Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python Industry-ready machine learning and deep learning time series analysis with PyTorch and pandas

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Product type Paperback
Published in Oct 2024
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781835883181
Length 658 pages
Edition 2nd Edition
Languages
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Authors (2):
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Jeffrey Tackes Jeffrey Tackes
Author Profile Icon Jeffrey Tackes
Jeffrey Tackes
Manu Joseph Manu Joseph
Author Profile Icon Manu Joseph
Manu Joseph
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Toc

Table of Contents (26) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Part-1: Getting Familiar with Time Series FREE CHAPTER
2. Introducing Time Series 3. Acquiring and Processing Time Series Data 4. Analyzing and Visualizing Time Series Data 5. Setting a Strong Baseline Forecast 6. Part-2: Machine Learning for Time Series
7. Time Series Forecasting as Regression 8. Feature Engineering for Time Series Forecasting 9. Target Transformations for Time Series Forecasting 10. Forecasting Time Series with Machine Learning Models 11. Ensembling and Stacking 12. Global Forecasting Models 13. Part-3: Deep Learning for Time Series
14. Introduction to Deep Learning 15. Building Blocks of Deep Learning for Time Series 16. Common Modeling Patterns for Time Series 17. Attention and Transformers for Time Series 18. Strategies for Global Deep Learning Forecasting Models 19. Specialized Deep Learning Architectures for Forecasting 20. Probabilistic Forecasting and More 21. Part-4: Mechanics of Forecasting
22. Multi-Step Forecasting 23. Evaluating Forecast Errors—A Survey of Forecast Metrics 24. Evaluating Forecasts—Validation Strategies 25. Index

Forecasting with Transformers

For some continuity, we will use the same household example we were forecasting with RNNs and RNNs with attention.

Notebook alert:

To follow along with the complete code, use the notebook named 03-Transformers.ipynb in the Chapter14 folder and the code in the src folder.

Although we learned about the vanilla Transformer as a model with an encoder-decoder architecture, it was really designed for language translation tasks. In language translation, the source sequence and target sequence are quite different, and therefore the encoder-decoder architecture made sense. But soon after, researchers figured out that using the decoder part of the Transformer alone does well. It is called a decoder-only Transformer in literature. The naming is a bit confusing because if you think about it, the decoder is different from the encoder in two ways—masked self-attention and encoder-decoder attention. So, in a decoder-only Transformer...

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