Economic impact considerations
Automating a wide range of creative and analytical tasks with increasingly capable generative AI could cause major disruptions in labor markets and incomes over the next decade. However, projections on net employment impacts remain complex and uncertain.
On one hand, studies suggest generative AI could add trillions to global GDP through gains in productivity, personalized services, and stimulating new industries. But other estimates warn that automated substitution of human roles could impact 50% of jobs and displace up to 12 million US workers alone in the next 10-15 years. Fields such as professional services, media, software, and transportation appear especially at risk.
This necessitates wise governance and visionary leadership for just economic transitions. Targeted programs for worker retraining, educational reform, job creation efforts, income/social supports, and public-private partnerships can help impacted individuals adapt and capitalize...