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Simulation for Data Science with R

You're reading from   Simulation for Data Science with R Effective Data-driven Decision Making

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Product type Paperback
Published in Jun 2016
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781785881169
Length 398 pages
Edition 1st Edition
Languages
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Author (1):
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Matthias Templ Matthias Templ
Author Profile Icon Matthias Templ
Matthias Templ
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Table of Contents (13) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Introduction 2. R and High-Performance Computing FREE CHAPTER 3. The Discrepancy between Pencil-Driven Theory and Data-Driven Computational Solutions 4. Simulation of Random Numbers 5. Monte Carlo Methods for Optimization Problems 6. Probability Theory Shown by Simulation 7. Resampling Methods 8. Applications of Resampling Methods and Monte Carlo Tests 9. The EM Algorithm 10. Simulation with Complex Data 11. System Dynamics and Agent-Based Models Index

Some basics on probability theory


Probability theory is a branch of mathematics, and it forms the basics to infer from a sample to a population. Together with the field of analytical statistics, probability theory is used in the field of stochastic to describe random events. Stochastic modeling in turn uses probabilistic concepts—randomness and laws regarding randomness—for the modeling and analysis of real random processes (for example, in economic forecasting). Let's introduce some notation and basic concepts.

A random process or random experiment is any procedure that can be infinitely repeated and has a well-defined set of possible outcomes. For example, rolling a die is a random experiment.

The set of outcomes is denoted by . These are all possible outcomes of the random experiment. Example: for rolling a die, .

A random variable, , can take on a set of possible different values (by chance), each with an associated probability.

The output of the random experiment is a random variable. Example...

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