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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

You're reading from   Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python Industry-ready machine learning and deep learning time series analysis with PyTorch and pandas

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Product type Paperback
Published in Oct 2024
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781835883181
Length 658 pages
Edition 2nd Edition
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Authors (2):
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Jeffrey Tackes Jeffrey Tackes
Author Profile Icon Jeffrey Tackes
Jeffrey Tackes
Manu Joseph Manu Joseph
Author Profile Icon Manu Joseph
Manu Joseph
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Table of Contents (26) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Part-1: Getting Familiar with Time Series FREE CHAPTER
2. Introducing Time Series 3. Acquiring and Processing Time Series Data 4. Analyzing and Visualizing Time Series Data 5. Setting a Strong Baseline Forecast 6. Part-2: Machine Learning for Time Series
7. Time Series Forecasting as Regression 8. Feature Engineering for Time Series Forecasting 9. Target Transformations for Time Series Forecasting 10. Forecasting Time Series with Machine Learning Models 11. Ensembling and Stacking 12. Global Forecasting Models 13. Part-3: Deep Learning for Time Series
14. Introduction to Deep Learning 15. Building Blocks of Deep Learning for Time Series 16. Common Modeling Patterns for Time Series 17. Attention and Transformers for Time Series 18. Strategies for Global Deep Learning Forecasting Models 19. Specialized Deep Learning Architectures for Forecasting 20. Probabilistic Forecasting and More 21. Part-4: Mechanics of Forecasting
22. Multi-Step Forecasting 23. Evaluating Forecast Errors—A Survey of Forecast Metrics 24. Evaluating Forecasts—Validation Strategies 25. Index

Validation strategies for datasets with multiple time series

All the strategies we have seen until now are perfectly valid for datasets with multiple time series, such as the London Smart Meters dataset we have been working with in this book. The insights we discussed in the last section are also valid. The implementation of such strategies can be slightly tricky because the scikit-learn classes we discussed work for a single time series. Those implementations assume that we have a single time series, sorted according to the temporal order. If there are multiple time series, the splits will be haphazard and messy.

There are a couple of options we can adopt for datasets with multiple time series:

  • We can loop over the different time series and use the methods we discussed to do the train-validation split, and then concatenate the resulting sets across all the time series. But that is not going to be so efficient.
  • We can write some code and design the validation...
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