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Mastering Machine Learning with R, Second Edition

You're reading from   Mastering Machine Learning with R, Second Edition Advanced prediction, algorithms, and learning methods with R 3.x

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Product type Paperback
Published in Apr 2017
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781787287471
Length 420 pages
Edition 2nd Edition
Languages
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Author (1):
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Cory Lesmeister Cory Lesmeister
Author Profile Icon Cory Lesmeister
Cory Lesmeister
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Table of Contents (17) Chapters Close

Preface 1. A Process for Success 2. Linear Regression - The Blocking and Tackling of Machine Learning FREE CHAPTER 3. Logistic Regression and Discriminant Analysis 4. Advanced Feature Selection in Linear Models 5. More Classification Techniques - K-Nearest Neighbors and Support Vector Machines 6. Classification and Regression Trees 7. Neural Networks and Deep Learning 8. Cluster Analysis 9. Principal Components Analysis 10. Market Basket Analysis, Recommendation Engines, and Sequential Analysis 11. Creating Ensembles and Multiclass Classification 12. Time Series and Causality 13. Text Mining 14. R on the Cloud 15. R Fundamentals 16. Sources

Business understanding

One cannot underestimate how important this first step in the process is in achieving success. It is the foundational step, and failure or success here will likely determine failure or success for the rest of the project. The purpose of this step is to identify the requirements of the business so that you can translate them into analytical objectives. It has the following four tasks:

  1. Identifying the business objective.
  2. Assessing the situation.
  3. Determining analytical goals.
  4. Producing a project plan.

Identifying the business objective

The key to this task is to identify the goals of the organization and frame the problem. An effective question to ask is, "What are we going to do different?" This may seem like a benign question, but it can really challenge people to work out what they need from an analytical perspective and it can get to the root of the decision that needs to be made. It can also prevent you from going out and doing a lot of unnecessary work on some kind of "fishing expedition." As such, the key for you is to identify the decision. A working definition of a decision can be put forward to the team as the irrevocable choice to commit or not commit the resources. Additionally, remember that the choice to do nothing different is indeed a decision.

This does not mean that a project should not be launched if the choices are not absolutely clear. There will be times when the problem is not, or cannot be, well defined; to paraphrase former Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, there are known-unknowns. Indeed, there will probably be many times when the problem is ill defined and the project's main goal is to further the understanding of the problem and generate hypotheses; again calling on Secretary Rumsfeld, unknown-unknowns, which means that you don't know what you don't know. However, with ill-defined problems, one could go forward with an understanding of what will happen next in terms of resource commitment based on the various outcomes from hypothesis exploration.

Another thing to consider in this task is the management of expectations. There is no such thing as perfect data, no matter what its depth and breadth are. This is not the time to make guarantees but to communicate what is possible, given your expertise.

I recommend a couple of outputs from this task. The first is a mission statement. This is not the touchy-feely mission statement of an organization, but it is your mission statement or, more importantly, the mission statement approved by the project sponsor. I stole this idea from my years of military experience and I could write volumes on why it is effective, but that is for another day. Let's just say that, in the absence of clear direction or guidance, the mission statement, or whatever you want to call it, becomes the unifying statement for all stakeholders and can help prevent scope creep. It consists of the following points:

  • Who: This is yourself or the team or project name; everyone likes a cool project name, for example, Project Viper, Project Fusion, and so on
  • What: This is the task that you will perform, for example, conducting machine learning
  • When: This is the deadline
  • Where: This could be geographical, by function, department, initiative, and so on
  • Why: This is the purpose behind implementing the project, that is, the business goal

The second task is to have as clear a definition of success as possible. Literally, ask "What does success look like?" Help the team/sponsor paint a picture of success that you can understand. Your job then is to translate this into modeling requirements.

Assessing the situation

This task helps you in project planning by gathering information on the resources available, constraints, and assumptions; identifying the risks; and building contingency plans. I would further add that this is also the time to identify the key stakeholders that will be impacted by the decision(s) to be made.

A couple of points here. When examining the resources that are available, do not neglect to scour the records of past and current projects. Odds are someone in the organization has worked, or is working on the same problem and it may be essential to synchronize your work with theirs. Don't forget to enumerate the risks considering time, people, and money. Do everything in your power to create a list of stakeholders, both those that impact your project and those that could be impacted by your project. Identify who these people are and how they can influence/be impacted by the decision. Once this is done, work with the project sponsor to formulate a communication plan with these stakeholders.

Determining the analytical goals

Here, you are looking to translate the business goal into technical requirements. This includes turning the success criterion from the task of creating a business objective to technical success. This might be things such as RMSE or a level of predictive accuracy.

Producing a project plan

The task here is to build an effective project plan with all the information gathered up to this point. Regardless of what technique you use, whether it be a Gantt chart or some other graphic, produce it and make it a part of your communication plan. Make this plan widely available to the stakeholders and update it on a regular basis and as circumstances dictate.

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