You're reading from Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python Explore industry-ready time series forecasting using modern machine learning and deep learning

Product type Paperback

Published in Nov 2022

Publisher Packt

ISBN-13 9781803246802

Length 552 pages

Edition 1st Edition

Languages

Python

Tools

Time Series Forecasting

Concepts

Data Science

Author (1):

Manu Joseph

View More author details

Table of Contents (26) Chapters

Preface

1. Part 1 – Getting Familiar with Time Series

2. Chapter 1: Introducing Time Series FREE CHAPTER

3. Chapter 2: Acquiring and Processing Time Series Data

4. Chapter 3: Analyzing and Visualizing Time Series Data

5. Chapter 4: Setting a Strong Baseline Forecast

6. Part 2 – Machine Learning for Time Series

7. Chapter 5: Time Series Forecasting as Regression

8. Chapter 6: Feature Engineering for Time Series Forecasting

9. Chapter 7: Target Transformations for Time Series Forecasting

10. Chapter 8: Forecasting Time Series with Machine Learning Models

11. Chapter 9: Ensembling and Stacking

12. Chapter 10: Global Forecasting Models

13. Part 3 – Deep Learning for Time Series

14. Chapter 11: Introduction to Deep Learning

15. Chapter 12: Building Blocks of Deep Learning for Time Series

16. Chapter 13: Common Modeling Patterns for Time Series

17. Chapter 14: Attention and Transformers for Time Series

18. Chapter 15: Strategies for Global Deep Learning Forecasting Models

19. Chapter 16: Specialized Deep Learning Architectures for Forecasting

20. Part 4 – Mechanics of Forecasting

21. Chapter 17: Multi-Step Forecasting

22. Chapter 18: Evaluating Forecasts – Forecast Metrics

23. Chapter 19: Evaluating Forecasts – Validation Strategies

24. Index

Why subscribe?

25. Other Books You May Enjoy

Temporal embedding

In Chapter 5, Time Series Forecasting as Regression, we briefly talked about temporal embedding as a process where we try to embed time into features that the ML model can leverage. If we think about time for a second, we will realize that there are two aspects of time that are important to us in the context of time series forecasting – passage of time and periodicity of time.

Let’s look at a few features that can help us capture these aspects in an ML model.

Calendar features

The first set of features that we can extract are features based on calendars. Although the strict definition of time series is a set of observations taken sequentially in time, more often than not, we will have the timestamps of these collected observations alongside the time series. We can utilize these timestamps and extract calendar features such as the month, quarter, day of the year, hour, minutes, and so on. These features capture the periodicity of time and help...