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Bayesian Analysis with Python

You're reading from   Bayesian Analysis with Python Unleash the power and flexibility of the Bayesian framework

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Product type Paperback
Published in Nov 2016
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781785883804
Length 282 pages
Edition 1st Edition
Languages
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Author (1):
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Osvaldo Martin Osvaldo Martin
Author Profile Icon Osvaldo Martin
Osvaldo Martin
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Table of Contents (10) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Thinking Probabilistically - A Bayesian Inference Primer FREE CHAPTER 2. Programming Probabilistically – A PyMC3 Primer 3. Juggling with Multi-Parametric and Hierarchical Models 4. Understanding and Predicting Data with Linear Regression Models 5. Classifying Outcomes with Logistic Regression 6. Model Comparison 7. Mixture Models 8. Gaussian Processes Index

Exercises

  1. In the kernelized regression example, try changing the number of knots and the bandwidth (one at a time). What is the effect of those changes? Try also using a single knot; what do you observe?
  2. Experiment with fitting other functions using kernelized regression. For example y = np.sin(x) + x**0.7 or y = x. Using these functions changes the number of data points and parameters like in Exercise 1
  3. In the example where we sample from the GP prior increase the number or realizations, by replacing:
    plt.plot(test_points, stats.multivariate_normal.rvs(cov=cov, size=6).T)

    with

    plt.plot(test_points, stats.multivariate_normal.rvs(cov=cov, size=1000).T, alpha=0.05, color='b')

    How does the GP prior look? Do you see that f(x) is distributed as a Gaussian centered at 0 and standard deviation 1?

  4. For the GP posterior using the Gaussian kernel, try defining test_points outside the interval [0, 10]. What happened outside the data interval? What does this tell us about extrapolating results (especially...
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