Now that we have identified a seasonality, the trend in the network data will baseline the data by fitting to a stochastic model. We have already defined systematic parameters, and we will apply them next.
Predicting DDoS attacks
ARMA
This is a weak stochastic stationary process, such that, when provided with a time series Xt, ARMA helps to forecast future values with respect to current values. ARMA consists of two actions:
- The autoregression (p)
- The moving average (q)
- C = Constant
- Et = White noise
- θ = Parameters
ARIMA
ARIMA is a generalized version of ARMA...