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Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading

You're reading from   Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading Predictive models to extract signals from market and alternative data for systematic trading strategies with Python

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Product type Paperback
Published in Jul 2020
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781839217715
Length 820 pages
Edition 2nd Edition
Languages
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Author (1):
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Stefan Jansen Stefan Jansen
Author Profile Icon Stefan Jansen
Stefan Jansen
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Table of Contents (27) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Machine Learning for Trading – From Idea to Execution 2. Market and Fundamental Data – Sources and Techniques FREE CHAPTER 3. Alternative Data for Finance – Categories and Use Cases 4. Financial Feature Engineering – How to Research Alpha Factors 5. Portfolio Optimization and Performance Evaluation 6. The Machine Learning Process 7. Linear Models – From Risk Factors to Return Forecasts 8. The ML4T Workflow – From Model to Strategy Backtesting 9. Time-Series Models for Volatility Forecasts and Statistical Arbitrage 10. Bayesian ML – Dynamic Sharpe Ratios and Pairs Trading 11. Random Forests – A Long-Short Strategy for Japanese Stocks 12. Boosting Your Trading Strategy 13. Data-Driven Risk Factors and Asset Allocation with Unsupervised Learning 14. Text Data for Trading – Sentiment Analysis 15. Topic Modeling – Summarizing Financial News 16. Word Embeddings for Earnings Calls and SEC Filings 17. Deep Learning for Trading 18. CNNs for Financial Time Series and Satellite Images 19. RNNs for Multivariate Time Series and Sentiment Analysis 20. Autoencoders for Conditional Risk Factors and Asset Pricing 21. Generative Adversarial Networks for Synthetic Time-Series Data 22. Deep Reinforcement Learning – Building a Trading Agent 23. Conclusions and Next Steps 24. References
25. Index
Appendix: Alpha Factor Library

How to solve reinforcement learning problems

RL methods aim to learn from experience how to take actions that achieve a long-term goal. To this end, the agent and the environment interact over a sequence of discrete time steps via the interface of actions, state observations, and rewards described in the previous section.

Key challenges in solving RL problems

Solving RL problems requires addressing two unique challenges: the credit-assignment problem and the exploration-exploitation trade-off.

Credit assignment

In RL, reward signals can occur significantly later than actions that contributed to the result, complicating the association of actions with their consequences. For example, when an agent takes 100 different positions and trades repeatedly, how does it realize that certain holdings performed much better than others if it only learns about the portfolio return?

The credit-assignment problem is the challenge of accurately estimating the benefits and costs...

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