Playing chess – independent events

Suppose we are given the following table of data. This tells us whether or not our friend will play a game of chess with us outside in the park, based on a number of weather-related conditions:

Temperature	Wind	Sunshine	Play
Cold	Strong	Cloudy	No
Warm	Strong	Cloudy	No
Warm	None	Sunny	Yes
Hot	None	Sunny	No
Hot	Breeze	Cloudy	Yes
Warm	Breeze	Sunny	Yes
Cold	Breeze	Cloudy	No
Cold	None	Sunny	Yes
Hot	Strong	Cloudy	Yes
Warm	None	Cloudy	Yes
Warm	Strong	Sunny	?

 

We would like to establish, by using Bayes' theorem, whether our friend would like to play a game of chess with us in the park given that the Temperature is Warm, the Wind is Strong, and it is Sunny.

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