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Data Analysis with R, Second Edition

You're reading from   Data Analysis with R, Second Edition A comprehensive guide to manipulating, analyzing, and visualizing data in R

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Product type Paperback
Published in Mar 2018
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781788393720
Length 570 pages
Edition 2nd Edition
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Author (1):
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Tony Fischetti Tony Fischetti
Author Profile Icon Tony Fischetti
Tony Fischetti
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Toc

Table of Contents (19) Chapters Close

Preface 1. RefresheR 2. The Shape of Data FREE CHAPTER 3. Describing Relationships 4. Probability 5. Using Data To Reason About The World 6. Testing Hypotheses 7. Bayesian Methods 8. The Bootstrap 9. Predicting Continuous Variables 10. Predicting Categorical Variables 11. Predicting Changes with Time 12. Sources of Data 13. Dealing with Missing Data 14. Dealing with Messy Data 15. Dealing with Large Data 16. Working with Popular R Packages 17. Reproducibility and Best Practices 18. Other Books You May Enjoy

ETS and the state space model

We've seen three methods so far: simple exponential smoothing for trend-less data, double exponential smoothing (also known as Holt's linear method) for a linear or damped trend component, and triple exponential smoothing (or Holt–Winters) for additive or multiplicative seasonality.

In a taxonomy of these methods first proposed in 1969 and expanded/refined in an important 2001 paper by Rob Hyndman (the author of the forecast package) et al., these methods can be nicely summarized in a table such as this:

Seasonal component
Trend component  None  Additive  Multiplicative
None  NN   NA NM
Additive   AN   AA  AM
Additive Damped  DN  DA  DM
Multiplicative  MN  MA  MM

 

This taxonomy encompasses all popular exponential...

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