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Causal Inference and Discovery in Python

You're reading from   Causal Inference and Discovery in Python Unlock the secrets of modern causal machine learning with DoWhy, EconML, PyTorch and more

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Product type Paperback
Published in May 2023
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781804612989
Length 456 pages
Edition 1st Edition
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Author (1):
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Aleksander Molak Aleksander Molak
Author Profile Icon Aleksander Molak
Aleksander Molak
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Table of Contents (21) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Part 1: Causality – an Introduction
2. Chapter 1: Causality – Hey, We Have Machine Learning, So Why Even Bother? FREE CHAPTER 3. Chapter 2: Judea Pearl and the Ladder of Causation 4. Chapter 3: Regression, Observations, and Interventions 5. Chapter 4: Graphical Models 6. Chapter 5: Forks, Chains, and Immoralities 7. Part 2: Causal Inference
8. Chapter 6: Nodes, Edges, and Statistical (In)dependence 9. Chapter 7: The Four-Step Process of Causal Inference 10. Chapter 8: Causal Models – Assumptions and Challenges 11. Chapter 9: Causal Inference and Machine Learning – from Matching to Meta-Learners 12. Chapter 10: Causal Inference and Machine Learning – Advanced Estimators, Experiments, Evaluations, and More 13. Chapter 11: Causal Inference and Machine Learning – Deep Learning, NLP, and Beyond 14. Part 3: Causal Discovery
15. Chapter 12: Can I Have a Causal Graph, Please? 16. Chapter 13: Causal Discovery and Machine Learning – from Assumptions to Applications 17. Chapter 14: Causal Discovery and Machine Learning – Advanced Deep Learning and Beyond 18. Chapter 15: Epilogue 19. Index 20. Other Books You May Enjoy

The back-door criterion

The back-door criterion is most likely the best-known technique to find causal estimands given a graph. And the best part is that you already know it!

In this section, we’re going to learn how the back-door criterion works. We’ll study its logic and learn about its limitations. This knowledge will allow us to find good causal estimands in a broad class of cases. Let’s start!

What is the back-door criterion?

The back-door criterion aims at blocking spurious paths between our treatment and outcome nodes. At the same time, we want to make sure that we leave all directed paths unaltered and are careful not to create new spurious paths.

Formally speaking, a set of variables, <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:m="http://schemas.openxmlformats.org/officeDocument/2006/math"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Z</mml:mi></mml:math>, satisfies the back-door criterion, given a graph <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:m="http://schemas.openxmlformats.org/officeDocument/2006/math"><mml:mi>G</mml:mi></mml:math>, and a pair of variables, if no node in <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:m="http://schemas.openxmlformats.org/officeDocument/2006/math"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Z</mml:mi></mml:math> is a descendant of <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:m="http://schemas.openxmlformats.org/officeDocument/2006/math"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math>, and <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:m="http://schemas.openxmlformats.org/officeDocument/2006/math"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Z</mml:mi></mml:math> blocks all the paths between <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:m="http://schemas.openxmlformats.org/officeDocument/2006/math"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math> and <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:m="http://schemas.openxmlformats.org/officeDocument/2006/math"><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:math> that contain an arrow into <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:m="http://schemas.openxmlformats.org/officeDocument/2006/math"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math> (Pearl, Glymour, and Jewell, 2016).

In the preceding definition, <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:m="http://schemas.openxmlformats.org/officeDocument/2006/math"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mo>→</mml:mo><mml:mo>…</mml:mo><mml:mo>→</mml:mo><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:math> means that...

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