You're reading from Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading Predictive models to extract signals from market and alternative data for systematic trading strategies with Python

Product type Paperback

Published in Jul 2020

Publisher Packt

ISBN-13 9781839217715

Length 820 pages

Edition 2nd Edition

Languages

Python

Tools

TensorFlow

Concepts

Machine Learning

Author (1):

Stefan Jansen

View More author details

Table of Contents (27) Chapters

Preface

1. Machine Learning for Trading – From Idea to Execution

2. Market and Fundamental Data – Sources and Techniques FREE CHAPTER

3. Alternative Data for Finance – Categories and Use Cases

4. Financial Feature Engineering – How to Research Alpha Factors

5. Portfolio Optimization and Performance Evaluation

6. The Machine Learning Process

7. Linear Models – From Risk Factors to Return Forecasts

8. The ML4T Workflow – From Model to Strategy Backtesting

9. Time-Series Models for Volatility Forecasts and Statistical Arbitrage

10. Bayesian ML – Dynamic Sharpe Ratios and Pairs Trading

11. Random Forests – A Long-Short Strategy for Japanese Stocks

12. Boosting Your Trading Strategy

13. Data-Driven Risk Factors and Asset Allocation with Unsupervised Learning

14. Text Data for Trading – Sentiment Analysis

15. Topic Modeling – Summarizing Financial News

16. Word Embeddings for Earnings Calls and SEC Filings

17. Deep Learning for Trading

18. CNNs for Financial Time Series and Satellite Images

19. RNNs for Multivariate Time Series and Sentiment Analysis

20. Autoencoders for Conditional Risk Factors and Asset Pricing

21. Generative Adversarial Networks for Synthetic Time-Series Data

22. Deep Reinforcement Learning – Building a Trading Agent

23. Conclusions and Next Steps

24. References

25. Index

Appendix: Alpha Factor Library

Modeling topics discussed in earnings calls

In Chapter 3, Alternative Data for Finance – Categories and Use Cases, we learned how to scrape earnings call data from the SeekingAlpha site. In this section, we will illustrate topic modeling using this source. I'm using a sample of some 700 earnings call transcripts between 2018 and 2019. This is a fairly small dataset; for a practical application, we would need a larger dataset.

The directory earnings_calls contains several files with the code examples used in this section. Refer to the notebook lda_earnings_calls for details on loading, exploring, and preprocessing the data, as well as training and evaluating individual models, and the run_experiments.py file for the experiments described next.

Data preprocessing

The transcripts consist of individual statements by company representatives, an operator, and a Q&A session with analysts. We will treat each of these statements as separate documents, ignoring operator...