Associations
In this section, we’ll demonstrate how to quantify associational relationships using conditional probability. Then, we’ll briefly introduce structural causal models. Finally, we’ll implement conditional probability queries using Python.
We already learned a lot about associations. We know that associations are related to observing and that they allow us to generate predictions. Let’s take a look at mathematical tools that will allow us to talk about associations in a more formal way.
We can view the mathematics of rung one from a couple of angles. In this section, we’ll focus on the perspective of conditional probability.
Conditional probability
Conditional probability is the probability of one event, given that another event has occurred. A mathematical symbol that we use to express conditional probability is | (known as a pipe or vertical bar). We read as a probability of X given Y. This notation is a bit simplified (or...