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Bayesian Analysis with Python

You're reading from   Bayesian Analysis with Python Unleash the power and flexibility of the Bayesian framework

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Product type Paperback
Published in Nov 2016
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781785883804
Length 282 pages
Edition 1st Edition
Languages
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Author (1):
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Osvaldo Martin Osvaldo Martin
Author Profile Icon Osvaldo Martin
Osvaldo Martin
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Table of Contents (10) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Thinking Probabilistically - A Bayesian Inference Primer FREE CHAPTER 2. Programming Probabilistically – A PyMC3 Primer 3. Juggling with Multi-Parametric and Hierarchical Models 4. Understanding and Predicting Data with Linear Regression Models 5. Classifying Outcomes with Logistic Regression 6. Model Comparison 7. Mixture Models 8. Gaussian Processes Index

Nuisance parameters and marginalized distributions

While almost any interesting model is multi-parametric, it is also true that not all the parameters we need in order to build a model are of direct interest to us. Sometimes we need to add a parameter just to build the model, even when we do not really care about this parameter. It may happen that we need to estimate the mean value of a Gaussian distribution to answer an important question we have. For such a model, and unless we know the value of the standard deviation, we should also estimate it even if we do not care about it. Parameters necessary to build a model but not interesting by themselves are known as nuisance parameters. Under the Bayesian paradigm, any unknown quantity is treated in the same way, so whether a parameter is or is not a nuisance parameter is more related to our questions than to the parameter itself, the model, or the inference process.

At this point, you may think that having to build a model with parameters...

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