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Bayesian Analysis with Python

You're reading from   Bayesian Analysis with Python Unleash the power and flexibility of the Bayesian framework

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Product type Paperback
Published in Nov 2016
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781785883804
Length 282 pages
Edition 1st Edition
Languages
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Author (1):
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Osvaldo Martin Osvaldo Martin
Author Profile Icon Osvaldo Martin
Osvaldo Martin
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Table of Contents (10) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Thinking Probabilistically - A Bayesian Inference Primer FREE CHAPTER 2. Programming Probabilistically – A PyMC3 Primer 3. Juggling with Multi-Parametric and Hierarchical Models 4. Understanding and Predicting Data with Linear Regression Models 5. Classifying Outcomes with Logistic Regression 6. Model Comparison 7. Mixture Models 8. Gaussian Processes Index

Gaussians, Gaussians, Gaussians everywhere

We introduce the Bayesian ideas using the beta-binomial model mainly because of its simplicity. Another very simple model is the Gaussian or normal model. Gaussians are very appealing from a mathematical point of view because working with them is easy; for example, we know that the conjugate prior of the Gaussian mean is the Gaussian itself. Besides, there are many phenomena that can be nicely approximated using Gaussians; essentially, almost every time that we measure the average of something, using a big enough sample size, that average will be distributed as a Gaussian. The details of when this is true, when this is not true, and when this is more or less true are elaborated in the central limit theorem (CLT); you may want to stop reading now and search about this really central statistical concept (very bad pun intended). Well, we were saying that many phenomena are indeed averages. Just to follow a cliché, the height (and almost any...

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