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Practical Predictive Analytics

You're reading from   Practical Predictive Analytics Analyse current and historical data to predict future trends using R, Spark, and more

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Product type Paperback
Published in Jun 2017
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781785886188
Length 576 pages
Edition 1st Edition
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Author (1):
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Ralph Winters Ralph Winters
Author Profile Icon Ralph Winters
Ralph Winters
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Table of Contents (13) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Getting Started with Predictive Analytics FREE CHAPTER 2. The Modeling Process 3. Inputting and Exploring Data 4. Introduction to Regression Algorithms 5. Introduction to Decision Trees, Clustering, and SVM 6. Using Survival Analysis to Predict and Analyze Customer Churn 7. Using Market Basket Analysis as a Recommender Engine 8. Exploring Health Care Enrollment Data as a Time Series 9. Introduction to Spark Using R 10. Exploring Large Datasets Using Spark 11. Spark Machine Learning - Regression and Cluster Models 12. Spark Models – Rule-Based Learning

Accuracy measures

Using the residuals, we can measure the error from the predicted and actual values based upon three popular accuracy measures:

  • Mean absolute error (MAE): This measure takes the mean of the absolute values of all of the errors (residuals)

  • Root-mean-squared error (RMSE): The root mean square error measures the error by first taking the mean of all of the squared errors, and then takes the square root of the mean, in order to revert back to the original scale. This is a standard statistical method of measuring errors.

Both MAE and RMSE are scale-dependent measures, which means that that they can be used to compare problems with similar scales. When comparing accuracy among models with different scales, other scale-independent measures such as MAPE should be used.
  • Mean percentage error (MAPE): This is the absolute difference between the actual and forecasted...

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