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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

You're reading from   Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python Industry-ready machine learning and deep learning time series analysis with PyTorch and pandas

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Product type Paperback
Published in Oct 2024
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781835883181
Length 658 pages
Edition 2nd Edition
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Authors (2):
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Jeffrey Tackes Jeffrey Tackes
Author Profile Icon Jeffrey Tackes
Jeffrey Tackes
Manu Joseph Manu Joseph
Author Profile Icon Manu Joseph
Manu Joseph
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Toc

Table of Contents (26) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Part-1: Getting Familiar with Time Series FREE CHAPTER
2. Introducing Time Series 3. Acquiring and Processing Time Series Data 4. Analyzing and Visualizing Time Series Data 5. Setting a Strong Baseline Forecast 6. Part-2: Machine Learning for Time Series
7. Time Series Forecasting as Regression 8. Feature Engineering for Time Series Forecasting 9. Target Transformations for Time Series Forecasting 10. Forecasting Time Series with Machine Learning Models 11. Ensembling and Stacking 12. Global Forecasting Models 13. Part-3: Deep Learning for Time Series
14. Introduction to Deep Learning 15. Building Blocks of Deep Learning for Time Series 16. Common Modeling Patterns for Time Series 17. Attention and Transformers for Time Series 18. Strategies for Global Deep Learning Forecasting Models 19. Specialized Deep Learning Architectures for Forecasting 20. Probabilistic Forecasting and More 21. Part-4: Mechanics of Forecasting
22. Multi-Step Forecasting 23. Evaluating Forecast Errors—A Survey of Forecast Metrics 24. Evaluating Forecasts—Validation Strategies 25. Index

Gated recurrent unit (GRU)

In 2014, Cho et al. proposed another variant of the RNN that has a much simpler structure than an LSTM, called a GRU. The intuition behind this is similar to when we use a bunch of gates to regulate the information that flows through the cell, but a GRU eliminates the long-term memory component and uses just the hidden state to propagate information. So instead of the memory cell becoming the gradient highway, the hidden state itself becomes the “gradient highway.” In keeping with the same notation convention we used in the previous section, let’s look at the updated equations for a GRU.

GRU architecture

While we had three gates in an LSTM, we only have two in a GRU:

  • Reset gate: This gate decides how much of the previous hidden state will be considered as the candidate’s hidden state of the current timestep. The equation for this is:

  • Update gate: The update gate decides how much of the previous...
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