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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

You're reading from   Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python Industry-ready machine learning and deep learning time series analysis with PyTorch and pandas

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Product type Paperback
Published in Oct 2024
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781835883181
Length 658 pages
Edition 2nd Edition
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Authors (2):
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Jeffrey Tackes Jeffrey Tackes
Author Profile Icon Jeffrey Tackes
Jeffrey Tackes
Manu Joseph Manu Joseph
Author Profile Icon Manu Joseph
Manu Joseph
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Toc

Table of Contents (26) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Part-1: Getting Familiar with Time Series FREE CHAPTER
2. Introducing Time Series 3. Acquiring and Processing Time Series Data 4. Analyzing and Visualizing Time Series Data 5. Setting a Strong Baseline Forecast 6. Part-2: Machine Learning for Time Series
7. Time Series Forecasting as Regression 8. Feature Engineering for Time Series Forecasting 9. Target Transformations for Time Series Forecasting 10. Forecasting Time Series with Machine Learning Models 11. Ensembling and Stacking 12. Global Forecasting Models 13. Part-3: Deep Learning for Time Series
14. Introduction to Deep Learning 15. Building Blocks of Deep Learning for Time Series 16. Common Modeling Patterns for Time Series 17. Attention and Transformers for Time Series 18. Strategies for Global Deep Learning Forecasting Models 19. Specialized Deep Learning Architectures for Forecasting 20. Probabilistic Forecasting and More 21. Part-4: Mechanics of Forecasting
22. Multi-Step Forecasting 23. Evaluating Forecast Errors—A Survey of Forecast Metrics 24. Evaluating Forecasts—Validation Strategies 25. Index

Using time-varying information

The GFM(ML) used all the available features. So, obviously, that model had access to a lot more information than the GFM(DL) we have built until now. The GFM(DL) we just built only takes in the history and nothing else. Let’s change that by including time-varying information. We will just use time-varying real features this time because dealing with categorical features is a topic I want to leave for the next section.

We initialize the training dataset the same way as before, but we add time_varying_known_reals=feat_config.time_varying_known_reals to the initialization parameters. Now that we have all the datasets created, let’s move on to setting up the model.

To set up the model, we need to understand one concept. We are now using the history of the target and time-varying known features. In Figure 15.3, we saw how TimeSeriesDataset arranges the different kinds of variables in PyTorch tensors. In the previous section, we used...

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