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Hands-On Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading

You're reading from   Hands-On Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading Design and implement investment strategies based on smart algorithms that learn from data using Python

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Product type Paperback
Published in Dec 2018
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781789346411
Length 684 pages
Edition 1st Edition
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Authors (2):
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Jeffrey Yau Jeffrey Yau
Author Profile Icon Jeffrey Yau
Jeffrey Yau
Stefan Jansen Stefan Jansen
Author Profile Icon Stefan Jansen
Stefan Jansen
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Table of Contents (23) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Machine Learning for Trading 2. Market and Fundamental Data FREE CHAPTER 3. Alternative Data for Finance 4. Alpha Factor Research 5. Strategy Evaluation 6. The Machine Learning Process 7. Linear Models 8. Time Series Models 9. Bayesian Machine Learning 10. Decision Trees and Random Forests 11. Gradient Boosting Machines 12. Unsupervised Learning 13. Working with Text Data 14. Topic Modeling 15. Word Embeddings 16. Deep Learning 17. Convolutional Neural Networks 18. Recurrent Neural Networks 19. Autoencoders and Generative Adversarial Nets 20. Reinforcement Learning 21. Next Steps 22. Other Books You May Enjoy

Strategy Evaluation

Alpha factors drive an algorithmic strategy that translates into trades that, in turn, produce a portfolio. The returns and risk of the resulting portfolio determine the success of the strategy. Testing a strategy requires simulating the portfolios generated by an algorithm to verify its performance under market conditions. Strategy evaluation includes backtesting against historical data to optimize the strategy's parameters, and forward-testing to validate the in-sample performance against new, out-of-sample data and avoid false discoveries from tailoring a strategy to specific past circumstances.

In a portfolio context, positive asset returns can offset negative price movements in a non-linear way so that the overall variation of portfolio returns is less than the weighted average of the variation of the portfolio positions unless their returns are perfectly...

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