The first two Robo-advisors were Betterment and Wealthfront. They both started in 2010, and for at least 5 years, they were the main two actors responsible for starting a new industry. Their marketing was consistently aimed at the next generation of would-be investors: the millennials. Among the incumbents, this was seen as the wrong strategy. Millennials simply did not have the assets, which were largely held by their parents and grandparents. Nevertheless, the users and assets of both platforms kept climbing year after year.
Eventually, many of the incumbents, such as Schwab and Blackrock, entered the market with Robo-advisors and have since overtaken these pioneers in sheer Assets Under Management (AUM). Yet the role of these two start-ups cannot be overstated. Many Robo-advisors operating today have copied their approach, marketing, portfolios, and user experience directly from these two platforms. At the beginning of 2022, UBS announced it had acquired Wealthfront for $1.4 billion to focus on millennials and the Gen Z that came after them (UBS). However, this acquisition was later terminated in September 2022 due to pressure from regulators and shareholders (Reuters).
Let’s briefly wind back the clock and examine how we’ve arrived in a situation where Robo-advisors are being adopted worldwide and becoming integrated into the suite of basic financial products available to most consumers alongside credit and savings.
From consumer platforms to B2B
My journey with Robo-advisors started in 2015 in Singapore, where I was working as a software consultant at the time. Many of my clients were financial institutions, and there was a tangible hype building around this idea of Robo-advisors. The question on everyone’s mind was, would Silicon Valley startups come across the oceans to challenge the traditional distribution networks operated by the major banks across Asia, or would local competition emerge? The term used for this type of phenomenon is disruption, and the people in charge don’t like it. This forced the existing players to evaluate whether they should be building platforms and pre-empt any new entrants from stealing market share.
From this hype, it gradually became clear that Robo-advisors were not a separate category of financial service. They represented the digital transformation of the industry, which was still largely operating in the world before the internet. Major banks only offered wealth management services through advisors to affluent or high-net-worth clients. At best, retail clients were offered high-priced online brokerage services with terrible user experiences. This combination of factors created the need for Robo-advisor platforms, such as my company Bambu. Some of the world’s largest banks might have the appetite and budget to dedicate a team for 5 to 10 years and build their own Robo-advisor from scratch, but what about the rest? Since 2016, companies such as Bambu, InvestCloud, and WeInvest have been offering technologies and services to financial institutions looking to launch Robo-advisors around the world.
From America to the rest of the world
If the first Robo-advisors were launched as early as 2010 in America, why did it take so many years for them to spread to the rest of the world? If anything, the choices for retail investors outside of America are far more limited. Even if you know what you’re doing, many countries do not have low-cost online brokers that offer access to low-cost ETFs to build a portfolio. When I lived in Singapore, in 2016, my bank would charge me $15 for every trade, which isn’t uncommon in many places even today. This goes a long way to explain the popularity of apps such as Robinhood that offer free trading.
So, why doesn’t every country have a Robo-advisor or several? Why haven’t Betterment and Wealthfront conquered the world as Uber and PayPal have? The simple answer is regulation. Compared to taxis and payments, which are also regulated industries, wealth management is highly regulated. Not only that, but the regulations vary greatly between countries. What is allowed in America is not automatically allowed anywhere else. A Robo-advisor wishing to enter a new market must start by applying for local licensing, and ensuring their platform and business comply with local regulations. This process not only takes a huge amount of time and money but takes away focus from your immediate growth plans. Thus, for most platforms, until the growth opportunity is fully sapped locally, going international just isn’t worth the trouble.
This introduces a massive hurdle for market entry, which plays into the hands of the incumbents and local startups. The pace of innovation for Robo-advisors thus far has been dictated by local start-up disruption. As soon as local Robo-advisors start emerging and gaining traction, the traditional providers must move to offer similar platforms and services. In Singapore, this process was driven largely by StashAway, which also started in 2016 as a start-up Robo-advisor. Initially, they were met with skepticism, but after a few years of solid growth, they have forced the hand of the industry and created a thriving ecosystem of Robo-advisors offered by a host of banks and start-ups playing catchup with StashAway.
From risk to goal-based investing
Traditionally, financial advisors would make a large part of their fees from commissions by selling specific fund products from asset managers. Hence, the engagement with new clients would center around which funds would be appropriate given the client’s needs. In the early 2000s, academics started developing an investment methodology that catered more to the client’s life situation than the advisor’s incentives. One such methodology is goal-based investing. According to author Paolo Sironi, goal-based investing had never caught on due to two main reasons: the practice of selling investment products was still immensely successful, and the technology to create a compelling user experience wasn’t there (Sironi). Robo-advisors presented a solution to the latter challenge.
Over the last decade, some form of goal-based investing has become the default approach for Robo-advisors around the world. Back in 2016, when Bambu was starting out, this was not an obvious choice. Many financial institutions were still operating in the traditional fund sales regime, so moving to goal-based investing was an additional unknown. Adding goals to a digital wealth platform is a double-edged sword. The obvious benefit is that it allows the platform to engage with the user around an aspirational topic of what they wish to achieve in their life, whereas the traditional engagement around risk is perceived as somewhat negative. The downside of adding goals to a user journey is that it is an additional complication. You still need risk questions, so the overall number of steps to open an account is now longer, which can impact conversion negatively.
The implementations of goal-based investing vary greatly among Robo-advisors. It can be as simple as assigning a name to your portfolio, or as complicated as assigning separate accounts and risk profiles to each goal. At Bambu, we made this the central defining feature of our platform, creating a whole library of calculator APIs to help people understand how much they might need for common life goals such as weddings, college, buying a home, or retiring based on different levels of lifestyle.
The future of Robo-advisors
Looking at where we are in 2022, a few key trends have emerged among the innovators in Robo-advisory. As market conditions and interest rates continue their turbulence, Robo-advisors are looking to expand their product offerings. A few years ago, this started with high-yield savings when Goldman Sachs entered the game with their Marcus app, offering 2% interest on cash. The success of this model forced many existing Robo-advisors to offer similar savings plans, and it was one of the reasons for record growth in users and AUM between 2019 and 2020. The savings rates offered by Wealthfront and others are highly dependent on interest rates and subject to regular updates (Wealthfront).
The fiscal pressures to deliver higher revenues and margins continue to push Robo-advisors to innovate and expand beyond their initial remit of investing. Several platforms have introduced bundles that include debit cards, margin loans, and even trading in stocks and crypto. These additional features serve to keep clients engaged, boost margins, and increase overall wallet share. This product expansion is beginning to gray the traditional borders between financial institutions such as advisors, brokers, custodians, lenders, and banks. Increasingly, these players are entering each other’s segments with overlapping product offerings.
Longer term, we may also see a bigger transformation of the Robo-advisor through blockchain technology. While regulations do not yet allow allocations of cryptocurrencies as part of Robo-advisor portfolios, that may be around the corner soon. Betterment’s acquisition of the crypto platform Makara indicates such a future (Sharma). However, the bigger opportunity may lie in a fundamental rethinking of how investment products are structured. The fundamental challenges in giving the world easy and free access to investing are still unsolved, due to the many complexities in how the industry operates, and the archaic technologies it was built on. Ideas such as tokenization promise a new approach to using distributed ledgers as a mechanism for defining the next generation of investment products. Already, many emerging markets have attracted stablecoin-based wallets as a solution to rampant inflation. Instead of the famous S&P 500 index fund, your future Robo-advisor might offer you portfolios consisting of tokens of fractional ownership in NFTs.